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Other Mobility Studies #11
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Our analysis revealed that mobility patterns are strongly correlated with decreased COVID-19 case growth rates for the most affected counties in the USA, with Pearson correlation coefficients above 0·7 for 20 of the 25 counties evaluated. Additionally, the effect of changes in mobility patterns, which dropped by 35–63% relative to the normal conditions, on COVID-19 transmission are not likely to be perceptible for 9–12 days, and potentially up to 3 weeks, which is consistent with the incubation time of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 plus additional time for reporting. We also show evidence that behavioural changes were already underway in many US counties days to weeks before state-level or local-level stay-at-home policies were implemented, implying that individuals anticipated public health directives where social distancing was adopted, despite a mixed political |
Various intervention methods have been introduced worldwide to slow down |
Social distancing is an important component of the response to the novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Minimizing social in- teractions and travel reduces the rate at which the infection spreads, and ”flattens the curve” such that the medical system can better treat infected individuals. However, it remains un- clear how the public will respond to these poli- cies. This paper presents the Twitter Social Mobility Index, a measure of social distancing and travel derived from Twitter data. We use public geolocated Twitter data to measure how much a user travels in a given week. We find a large reduction in travel in the United States after the implementation of social distanc- ing policies, with larger reductions in states that were early adopters and smaller changes in states without policies.
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