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Update Load factor (occupancy) of LDVs #215

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r-aneeque opened this issue Aug 7, 2024 · 1 comment
Open
3 of 4 tasks

Update Load factor (occupancy) of LDVs #215

r-aneeque opened this issue Aug 7, 2024 · 1 comment
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transport MESSAGEix-Transport variant or transport in the base model

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@r-aneeque
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r-aneeque commented Aug 7, 2024

To dos:

  • Update base year load factors
  • Reference the related literature
  • Change load factor values over time
  • Change load factor values across SSPs based on SSP narrative elements

Description:

  • Ideally, this should be a function of LDV per person, some demographic factors and daily/long-distance travel patterns/share.
  • Given the lack of data, I am using this and VDT to balance the base year LDV stock numbers.
  • Historically, both US and EU, had load factor values around 2.5 till 1970-80s and from then fell over time, with increasing car ownership.
@r-aneeque r-aneeque added the transport MESSAGEix-Transport variant or transport in the base model label Aug 7, 2024
@r-aneeque r-aneeque self-assigned this Aug 7, 2024
@r-aneeque
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r-aneeque commented Aug 7, 2024

R12_AFR: --> 2.2.
The legacy value is probably too low. Especially since here and in R12_MEA we assume a lot of informal transit (other than vans, dalla dalla) go towards LDV mode share.

R12_SAS: --> 2
It was 2.5 in studies from 2006-2015. However with the increase in car ownership during & after that period we can assume it fell.

R12_CHN: --> 1.75
check China specific issue link here

R12_PAS: --> 1.807

khaeru pushed a commit that referenced this issue Sep 4, 2024
- Base year values; see
  #215 (comment)
- Changes per iiasa/message_data#569 to match LED stock in the base
  year, including R12_AFR.
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